Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.028831 0.031484 0.034109 0.036897 0.039771 0.042640 0.045716
2025-01-19 0.022459 0.026650 0.030922 0.035576 0.040479 0.045472 0.050921
2025-01-26 0.019551 0.024830 0.030336 0.036446 0.042982 0.049722 0.057157
2025-02-02 0.016818 0.022842 0.029265 0.036509 0.044361 0.052542 0.061644
2025-02-09 0.013970 0.020460 0.027544 0.035669 0.044587 0.053968 0.064487
2025-02-16 0.012255 0.019195 0.026925 0.035911 0.045872 0.056426 0.068327
2025-02-23 0.010572 0.017827 0.026084 0.035813 0.046699 0.058313 0.071478
2025-03-02 0.008978 0.016439 0.025128 0.035506 0.047228 0.059814 0.074152
2025-03-09 0.007662 0.015287 0.024373 0.035367 0.047888 0.061410 0.076880
2025-03-16 0.006179 0.013796 0.023139 0.034615 0.047809 0.062149 0.078632
2025-03-23 0.005272 0.012986 0.022672 0.034711 0.048651 0.063873 0.081427
2025-03-30 0.004375 0.012103 0.022069 0.034610 0.049237 0.065285 0.083854
2025-04-06 0.003240 0.010853 0.021080 0.034174 0.049599 0.066628 0.086419
2025-04-13 0.001909 0.009075 0.019352 0.032841 0.048947 0.066873 0.087823
2025-04-20 0.001477 0.008701 0.019429 0.033677 0.050793 0.069912 0.092311
2025-04-27 0.000915 0.007921 0.018905 0.033737 0.051702 0.071868 0.095570
2025-05-04 0.000324 0.006725 0.017720 0.032923 0.051543 0.072579 0.097408
2025-05-11 0.000093 0.006169 0.017394 0.033157 0.052602 0.074655 0.100751
2025-05-18 NaN 0.005489 0.016833 0.033062 0.053243 0.076232 0.103513
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004765 0.016142 0.032765 0.053617 0.077482 0.105888
2025-06-01 NaN 0.004169 0.015597 0.032629 0.054165 0.078915 0.108451
2025-06-08 NaN 0.003369 0.014632 0.031901 0.053966 0.079465 0.109996
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002967 0.014298 0.031994 0.054755 0.081145 0.112808